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Adding a QQQ Mean Reversion Sleeve to the Robuxio Crypto Portfolio

September 17, 2026

Broader diversification

We are adding a new systematic sleeve to the Robuxio Crypto portfolio: a mean reversion sub-portfolio on QQQ.

The reason is straightforward: broader diversification.

The current Robuxio Crypto portfolio already combines more than 20 strategies across mean reversion, momentum, long and short exposure, trading a dynamic universe of liquid crypto futures.

The next logical step is diversification across asset classes.

Crypto remains the core opportunity set. But a portfolio made exclusively from crypto strategies still shares exposure to the same underlying market structure, liquidity cycles, and broader crypto market shocks.

Adding systematic strategies from traditional markets introduces another source of PnL.

Different market = different source of edge.

Note for EU clients on Binance

EU users can’t trade RWA perpetuals on Binance, so on EU accounts the QQQ trades will be skipped.

Why QQQ mean reversion

Mean reversion is already an important component of the Robuxio Crypto portfolio.

The new QQQ strategies apply the same first-principles framework to a different market.

The model targets short-term dislocations in the Nasdaq 100. When price moves become sufficiently stretched, the strategy takes contrarian exposure and targets subsequent normalization.

QQQ has different participants, liquidity dynamics, positioning, and behavioral drivers than crypto.

The objective is a return stream that can behave independently from the existing crypto sleeves.

Long-term performance

Tested period: January 2008 through July 2026.

8.72%
CAGR
10.66%
Annualized volatility
0.84
Sharpe ratio
-16.96%
Maximum drawdown
Growth of $1 in the QQQ mean reversion strategy from January 2008 to July 2026, ending at $4.73

The test covers multiple materially different equity regimes, including the Global Financial Crisis, COVID, the 2022 bear market, and subsequent recovery.

Drawdown

QQQ mean reversion drawdown from peak since 2008, with a maximum drawdown of -16.96% in October 2008

Maximum historical drawdown: -16.96%.

The important question is not whether a strategy experiences drawdowns. Every systematic edge does.

The question is whether those drawdowns occur differently from the rest of the portfolio.

Edge changes through time

Rolling 6-month Sharpe ratio of the QQQ mean reversion strategy since 2008, showing stronger and weaker periods around a full-period Sharpe of 0.84

As expected, the rolling Sharpe shows clear stronger and weaker periods.

Different strategies have different favorable regimes. That is why the portfolio combines multiple independent return drivers instead of depending on one model.

Expanding beyond crypto

This QQQ sleeve is the first traditional-market sleeve in the Robuxio Crypto portfolio, traded as a crypto RWA perpetual. That is a different game from our equities portfolio: a limited universe, lower liquidity, and higher fee and market impact.

Several more RWA models are already in the incubation period. The process is straightforward:

  1. 1Economic or behavioral hypothesis
  2. 2Robustness testing
  3. 3Out-of-sample validation
  4. 4Incubation
  5. 5Live monitoring
  6. 6Portfolio integration

As the research continues, we plan to add more RWA models when they pass the same validation process.

More strategies. More independent return drivers. Less dependence on one asset class or one regime.

QQQ mean reversion figures are from a historical test covering 2 January 2008 to 31 July 2026. They are hypothetical, not live trading results, and do not reflect the impact of real execution. Past performance, simulated or actual, is not indicative of future results.